{Posttraumatic stress disorder associated with unexpected death of a loved one: Cross-national findings from the world mental health surveys Jose Posada-Villa 24 Margreet ten Have}

Citation:

Atwoli L, Stein DJ, King A, Petukhova M, Aguilar-Gaxiola S, Alonso J, Bromet EJ, {De Girolamo} G, Demyttenaere K, Florescu S. {Posttraumatic stress disorder associated with unexpected death of a loved one: Cross-national findings from the world mental health surveys Jose Posada-Villa 24 Margreet ten Have}. Depress Anxiety. 2016;00:1–12.

Abstract:

Background: Unexpected death of a loved one (UD) is the most commonly reported traumatic experience in cross-national surveys. However, much remains to be learned about posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) after this experience. The WHO World Mental Health (WMH) survey ini-tiative provides a unique opportunity to address these issues. Methods: Data from 19 WMH surveys (n = 78,023; 70.1{%} weighted response rate) were collated. Potential predictors of PTSD (respondent sociodemographics, characteristics of the death, history of prior trauma exposure, history of prior mental disorders) after a representative sample of UDs were examined using logistic regression. Simulation was used to estimate overall model strength in targeting individuals at highest PTSD risk. Results: PTSD prevalence after UD averaged 5.2{%} across surveys and did not differ signifi-cantly between high-income and low-middle income countries. Significant multivariate predictors included the deceased being a spouse or child, the respondent being female and believing they could have done something to prevent the death, prior trauma exposure, and history of prior men-tal disorders. The final model was strongly predictive of PTSD, with the 5{%} of respondents having highest estimated risk including 30.6{%} of all cases of PTSD. Positive predictive value (i.e., the pro-portion of high-risk individuals who actually developed PTSD) among the 5{%} of respondents with highest predicted risk was 25.3{%}. Conclusions: The high prevalence and meaningful risk of PTSD make UD a major public health issue. This study provides novel insights into predictors of PTSD after this experience and sug-gests that screening assessments might be useful in identifying high-risk individuals for preventive interventions.